Trade Setup for 16 December 2025 by Dhwani Patel

Trade Setup for 16 December 2025 by Dhwani Patel

Trade setup for 16 December

The markets continued displaying stability as benchmark indices moved within a controlled range while maintaining a positive undertone. With both Nifty and Bank Nifty sustaining above critical moving averages, traders can expect a session driven by consolidation, selective strength, and improving momentum signals. Below is a complete breakdown of the important technical levels and option data to help you prepare for the trading day.

1) Key Levels For The Nifty 50 (26,027)

Resistance (Pivot Points):

  • 26,048
  • 26,081
  • 26,136

Support (Pivot Points):

  • 25,939
  • 25,905
  • 25,851

Special Formation:

The Nifty formed a bullish candle on the daily chart, showing continued strength. However, the index failed to close above the previous day’s high, signalling some hesitation at upper levels.

Technically, the index:

  • Remained above all key moving averages, which is positive
  • Could not close above the midline of the Bollinger Bands
  • Showed a positive Stochastic RSI crossover, indicating early momentum
  • Saw its RSI dip slightly to 53.68, staying marginally below the reference line
  • Witnessed fading histogram weakness for the third straight session

Despite this, the MACD stayed below the reference line, suggesting that a full confirmation of trend reversal is still pending.

Interpretation:
Nifty is in a consolidation phase with mild positive bias, supported by strong moving average structure but restrained by weak momentum confirmation.

2) Key Levels For The Bank Nifty (59,462)

Resistance (Pivot Points):

  • 59,533
  • 59,646
  • 59,830

Support (Pivot Points):

  • 59,165
  • 59,052
  • 58,868

Fibonacci Levels:

  • Resistance: 60,907, 62,337
  • Support: 58,988, 58,638

Special Formation:

The Bank Nifty closed the session on a positive note, forming a bullish candle and breaking above a downward-sloping resistance trendline—a constructive sign for bulls.

The index also:

  • Stayed above all major moving averages
  • Sustained above the Bollinger Bands midline
  • Held a bullish Stochastic RSI crossover
  • Saw RSI climb to 59.18, though still below its reference line
  • Reflected further fading of histogram weakness
  • Kept MACD below the reference line

Interpretation:
Bank Nifty shows improving momentum with cautious optimism. A close above 59,650–59,700 could unlock further upside.

3) Nifty Call Options Data

  • Max Call OI:
    • 26,200 strike (1.42 crore contracts) – major resistance
    • 26,100 strike (1.35 crore contracts)
    • 26,300 strike (1.1 crore contracts)
  • Highest Call Writing:
    • 26,100 strike (+51.95 lakh)
    • 26,200 strike (+45.62 lakh)
    • 26,050 strike (+36.81 lakh)
  • Max Call Unwinding:
    • 26,800 strike (-16.36 lakh)
    • 26,600 strike (-13.21 lakh)
    • 26,350 strike (-12.44 lakh)

Interpretation:
Strong supply continues near 26,100–26,200, suggesting overhead pressure and a tough zone to cross.

4) Nifty Put Options Data

  • Max Put OI:
    • 25,900 strike (1.75 crore contracts) – strong support
    • 26,000 strike (1.58 crore)
    • 25,800 strike (1.34 crore)
  • Highest Put Writing:
    • 25,900 strike (+60.82 lakh)
    • 25,950 strike (+57.52 lakh)
    • 25,850 strike (+48.28 lakh)
  • Max Put Unwinding:
    • 25,600 strike (-7.1 lakh)
    • 25,350 strike (-5.73 lakh)
    • 26,100 strike (-4.29 lakh)

Interpretation:
The Put writing at 25,900–26,000 indicates that the market is likely to defend this support strongly.

5) Bank Nifty Call Options Data

  • Max Call OI:
    • 59,500 strike (15.38 lakh contracts)
    • 60,000 strike (14.59 lakh)
    • 61,000 strike (8.35 lakh)
  • Top Call Writing:
    • 59,500 strike (+2.02 lakh)
    • 60,500 strike (+80,080)
    • 59,700 strike (+55,160)
  • Max Call Unwinding:
    • 60,000 strike (-39,235)
    • 58,800 strike (-31,360)
    • 59,800 strike (-23,450)

Interpretation:
Bank Nifty faces firm resistance at 59,500–60,000, where traders continue adding short positions.

6) Bank Nifty Put Options Data

  • Max Put OI:
    • 59,500 strike (19.14 lakh contracts)
    • 59,000 strike (15.14 lakh)
    • 58,500 strike (11.15 lakh)
  • Top Put Writing:
    • 59,500 strike (+2.28 lakh)
    • 59,000 strike (+1.94 lakh)
    • 59,200 strike (+1.01 lakh)
  • Max Put Unwinding:
    • 58,900 strike (-6,335)
    • 57,800 strike (-5,250)
    • 58,800 strike (-4,760)

Interpretation:
Support continues to strengthen around 59,000–59,500, aligning with technical improvements.

7) Put-Call Ratio (PCR)

  • PCR rose to 1.18 (previous: 1.15)

A PCR above 1 indicates heightened Put writing and increasing bullish confidence.

8) India VIX

  • India VIX increased by 1.41% to 10.25
  • Remains below all significant moving averages
  • Still within the lower volatility zone

Interpretation:
Market stability remains intact. Low VIX offers comfort but also warns that sudden sharp moves cannot be ruled out.

Conclusion: What to Expect on December 16

  • Nifty may continue to consolidate between 25,900–26,100, with a slight upward bias
  • Bank Nifty strength appears better, supported by trendline breakout and strong Put bases
  • Options data suggests upside caps near 26,200 (Nifty) and 59,500–60,000 (Bank Nifty)
  • Momentum is improving, but full confirmation requires breakouts above resistance zones

Overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, supported by structure but limited by weak momentum indicators.

Disclosure & Disclaimer

Dhwani Patel (SEBI Registration No: INH200008608) is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst.
All views are for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.